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Due to a lack of time and energy, the site may go black for 09/10

Season Review

By any measure, this season was a disaster.  Losses in the first 5 games of the year to go down -7.7x, and it didnt get much better from there.  In season, we only had 2 profitable weekends out of the 6, and couldn’t turn it around after the slow start.  The ball doesnt always bounce in our direction, and that’s why they call it gambling.

Looking forward to a much stronger winter in 8 months.  Next year we’ll have more time and resources to put into the season previews, and that work starts now.

Good luck in the remaining tourney games.

Grand Finale

Well, in all likelyhood this is the last game of the year.  This season can’t end fast enough.  Might as well end it with a pick only 29% of the nation is making.

Cornell +12.5 4x

Senior Saturday

Dartmouth at Brown  Play: Brown -4 4x
Harvard at Yale  Play: Yale -5 2x
Penn at Columbia  Play: Penn +3 3x
Princeton at Cornell  Play: Princeton +15 3x

Saturday Feb 28

After an 0-8 Friday stretch, took yesterday off. Back on the horse tonight.

Brown at Penn -7.5 Play: Brown +7.5 2x
Yale at Princeton -1.5 Play: Princeton -1.5 3x
Columbia at Dartmouth -1 play: Dartmouth -1 2x
Cornell at Harvard +6.5 Play: Cornell -6.5 4x

Let’s have a big night!

Sat Feb 21st

Just reverse these, it’s for your own good:

Dartmouth at Princeton -8  Play: Dartmough +8 2x
Harvard at Penn -5.5 Play: Penn -5.5 3x
Columbia at Yale -6  Play:  Columbia +6 4x
Cornell at Brown +8  Play: Cornell -8 3x

3 Weeks Left

It’s been a beyond frustrating year.   Princeton beats the first place team (Cornell) by 20 points, then the second place team (Columbia) by 30, and the VERY NEXT WEEK loses to Yale by 12 and the last place team (Brown) by 18.  None of those three teams can even claim the injury bug, like Penn can with 4 of their projected starters out.  The only comfort I can take is that I think every coach in the league feels the same way.

At this point, I’m not going to waste keystrokes justifying these.

Friday
Columbia at Brown  -4  Play: Brown -4 2x
Cornell at Yale  +5.5     Play: Cornell -5.5 4x
Dartmouth at Penn  -10  Play: Penn -10 1x
Harvard at Princeton  -5  Play: Princeton -5 3x

Valentines Day

Things haven’t been all sweethearts and honeypies around here this season, but there’s nothing to do but keep on truckin.  Posting these early so that hopefully everyone can spend some quality time with their little ladies.

Saturday
Harvard at Columbia pk = -3
Columbia made me eat all 8.5 of my words last night.  Their perimeter defense should pressure Harvard’s guards much worse than Dartmouth’s.  Play: Columbia -3 2x

Dartmouth at Cornell -8 = -20
Twenty?  Things are getting a little out of hand upstate.  Play: Dartmouth +20 3x

Penn at Yale -2 = -3.5
I thought the Penn Brown game would be a little closer than it was.  I don’t have the stats handy, but if you look back over the past 7 years, I think Miller would be something like 5-2 in New Haven.  In THIS case, historical records do matter- Miller > Jones.  Play Penn -3.5 2x

Princeton at Brown +6 = +1.5
Well, here it is, the Game of the Week.  This one is going to be one people look back on and laugh at when Brown gets blown out by 20 again.  I’d feel a little better if I was getting 6 instead of 1.5, but no going back now… Looking at SportsInsights.com I’m going to be 1 of about 200 people on this side.  Play: Brown +1.5 5x

Friday Picks

So, apparently my takes on the games are significantly off from where our friends in Vegas see them.  That isn’t necessarily a bad thing.  Lets go one by one:

Harvard at Cornell -9 = -15
The Big Red has now won three of its last four Ivy League home contests by more than 25 points, including drilling Harvard 86-53 at the end of last year.  People remember crap like that, and bet accordingly.  Unfortunately, it has absolutely nothing to do with this game.  Play: Harvard +15 2x

Penn at Brown +2 = -1
Not sure what advantage Brown shows here in this game, other than being at home.  This is a game between two struggling teams, both of which are better than their record show, but capable of laying a huge goose egg on any given night.  No Play

Princeton at Yale +4 = -2
Yale might be a tough place to play, but with the Ely’s averaging less than 50pts per game, and the Tigers having one of the toughest defenses in the league, Princeton might be able to take this one on free throws alone.  Play: Princeton +2 3x

Dartmouth at Columbia +3 = -8.5
I saved this one for last, because it’s absurd.  Columbia laying 8.5 to anybody in the league is a joke, especially considering Ampin supposedly had a pretty bad ankle sprain last weekend and is questionable for this weekend. Play: Dartmouth +8.5 4x

Good luck!

Friday the 13th

Maybe a little contrarian angle to this weekend will bring some good luck?  Lets look at the card, with some line guesses:

Friday
Dartmouth at Columbia +3
Harvard at Cornell -9
Princeton at Yale +4
Penn at Brown +2

Saturday
Harvard at Columbia pk
Dartmouth at Cornell -8
Penn at Yale -2
Princeton at Brown +6

Game of the Week: Preseason, it would have been Harvard’s trip up to Cornell.  I had that one circled as the biggest potential upset for the Big Red’s perfect season.  What a complete turn of events.  I don’t think anybody on the planet would have thought Princeton could start 4-0, sweeping Cornell and Columbia by a combined 50pts.  Sydney Johnson is battling Craig Robinson for Princeton alum coach of the year, and in my opinion he’s wiping the floor with Barack’s brother in law.  It’s a lot of pressure for a young coach, and I think they take their first L this weekend on the road at Brown (a team that could easily be 4-2 rather than 0-6).